North America 2026
Complete
USA 
Canada 
Mexico Kick-off 11 June 2026 19 July 2026
Ella's Spain beat Richard's Argentina 1-0 in the final to lift the World Cup - and the +80 carries Ella from 127 to 207 and past Richard to the sweepstake title. The favourite delivered; the leader is pipped at the very last.
18 July 2026
The third-place play-off, usually a quiet goodbye, produced ten goals - Henry's England beating Nichola's France 6-4 for the bronze. It settles the whole table bar the top two, who meet in tonight's final.
15 July 2026
Argentina came from a goal down to beat Henry's England 2-1, ending the dream of a Spain-England final. Richard's reward is the lead back and a place in the final - against Ella's Spain, winner takes the sweepstake.
14 July 2026
Ella's Spain beat Nichola's France 2-0 to reach the final - and the +40 lifts Ella above Richard to the top of the table for the very first time. Tomorrow's semi could flip it all straight back.
12 July 2026
Henry's England beat Pete's Norway 2-1 to reach the semis and climb to third, while Pete - his two quarter-finalists both gone - is left with nothing on the pitch. Richard's Argentina then saw off his own Switzerland to complete a four-owner last four.
12 July 2026
With the quarter-finals done and the semis a couple of days off, a look back at who defied their opening odds - the outsiders who ran far further than the model predicted, and the giants who went home early.
11 July 2026
Ella's Spain beat Pete's Belgium 2-1 to reach the last four, lifting her to second and to favourite - the third player to hold that title in three days - while Pete is left with only Norway, out today against Henry's England.
10 July 2026
Nichola's France beat Tega's Morocco 2-0 to reach the semis - lifting Nichola to third and, remarkably, to the top of the betting - while Tega's last team goes out and settles the bottom three for good.
8 July 2026
Argentina edge Egypt and Switzerland win a goalless shootout to hand Richard both teams in one quarter-final - and a 25-point lead - while Emily's Colombia go out on penalties.
8 July 2026
The quarter-final line-up is set and the model has run 50,000 tournaments to project a finishing order. Here's where each player is headed - and the one match that makes or breaks it.
7 July 2026
Ella's Spain edge Sophie's Portugal to end her tournament - Sophie is the first player with no teams left - while Pete's Belgium rout the USA to give him two quarter-finalists.
6 July 2026
Henry's England edge Richard's Mexico 3-2 in the game of the tournament, and Pete's Norway knock out Emily's Brazil - two quarter-final places that shove both owners past the chasing pack.
5 July 2026
The last 16 opens with France and Morocco into the quarter-finals - big +10s for Nichola and Tega, and France to the top of the title board.
5 July 2026
For the technically curious: how the sweepstake site is built (mostly by an AI, from my phone), how the table and odds update themselves every half hour, and the couple of places it's held together with tape.
4 July 2026
Argentina and Switzerland both go through to give Richard four teams in the last 16 and a 24-point lead, while Sophie's Cape Verde, Australia and Algeria all fall.
3 July 2026
Spain thrash Austria and Portugal edge Croatia to bunch the chasing pack, while Ella's Spain surges to the top of the title board - almost level with Richard in the betting.
2 July 2026
Pete's Belgium and Ella's USA reach the R16, and the draw throws up Richard's Mexico v Henry's England - while today Sophie meets herself.
1 July 2026
England beat Pete's Congo DR 2-1 to reach the Round of 16, taking Henry up to second - his second team through, and a genuine contender in the draw.
1 July 2026
France thrash Sweden and Norway lifts Pete back to second, while Mexico extends Richard's lead - and the title board becomes a three-way scrap between Argentina, France and Spain.
30 June 2026
Brazil sends Emily to second, then two shootouts swing the day - Richard's Paraguay edges Tega's Germany, and Tega's Morocco dumps out Pete's title hope Netherlands.
29 June 2026
The Round of 32 opens with Canada beating South Africa in Henry's all-own tie - he banks the last-16 bonus and climbs to second, even as the real contenders firm in the betting.
28 June 2026
Argentina finish perfect, the Round of 32 is set with four all-their-own ties, every qualifier banks its first knockout points - and Sophie vaults to second.
27 June 2026
Henry's five-goal Senegal and Pete's Belgium rout shake up the chase, Ella's Spain edges Nichola's Uruguay, and a run of all-their-own R32 ties is drawn.
26 June 2026
Ivory Coast and a Netherlands rout reshuffle the chasers, Ecuador stuns Germany, and the opening R32 fixtures land Henry and Emily in all-their-own ties.
25 June 2026
Switzerland and Mexico extend Richard's lead to twelve, while Brazil 3-0 and a Colombia win lift Emily into second as the group stage nears its end.
24 June 2026
Portugal 5-0, Croatia 1-0 and Algeria 2-1 hand Sophie a nine-point day from the bottom of the table — and the knockout bonuses are rebuilt to reward progression.
23 June 2026
Argentina, France and Norway all win as the group stage nears its climax — Richard extends his lead, Pete leaps to second, and the chasers bunch up on 15.
22 June 2026
Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia and Japan 4-0 Tunisia headline a goal-heavy Sunday — Ella climbs to third, Emily to fourth, Henry slips to seventh.
21 June 2026
Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast and Netherlands 5-1 Sweden lift Tega to 2nd and Pete to 3rd — yet the odds drift their way out as Richard firms to ~33%.
20 June 2026
Mexico 1-0, Morocco 1-0 Scotland, USA 2-0 Australia, then Brazil 3-0 Haiti and Paraguay 1-0 Türkiye this morning.
19 June 2026
Switzerland 4-1, Mexico 1-0 - Richard moves 10 points clear. Czechia and South Africa share the spoils. Canada 6-0 over Qatar shifts Sophie's GD.
18 June 2026
Every team has played at least once. England 4-2 Croatia gives Henry his marquee. Two intra-couple fixtures today.
17 June 2026
Nichola's France 3-1, Pete's Norway 4-1 to break the inter-couple draw streak, and Henry's England finally up tonight.
16 June 2026
Spain 0-0 Cape Verde was the upset of the group stage so far. Ella and Sophie share a point. France lands today.
15 June 2026
Pete and Emily drew the first inter-couple match. Sophie and Ella are doing the same right now. Nichola moves to odds-on favourite.
14 June 2026
Four of Richard's six teams have already played, and three of those results have gone his way. Every player is on the board with at least a point.
13 June 2026
United States 4-1 Paraguay puts Ella top of the table. Canada and Bosnia finish 1-1. Brazil v Morocco and Qatar v Switzerland still to come today.
12 June 2026
HT in Group B - Nichola's Bosnia-Herzegovina lead Henry's Canada by a goal at the break.
12 June 2026
South Korea 2-1 Czechia gives Pete his three. Henry's Canada open against Nichola's Bosnia-Herzegovina later tonight.
11 June 2026
It all kicks off tonight in Mexico City. Richard's Mexico host Henry's South Africa - good luck everyone.